28 Sept · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1515
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Martyniuk
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1536
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Martyniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.