28 Sept · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1431
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Maslovskyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1471
FormLWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H59-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.