28 Sept · 07:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PO
🇺🇦Petr Orlowski
ELO 1650
FormLLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Orlowski
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1500
FormWLWLL
65%
35%
🌟Merkl covers set handicap as underdog 68% (154)
Fair odds · Orlowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+150
H2H23-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-19)