28 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1528
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1533
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H24-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.