28 Sept · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1615
FormWLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Tebenko
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1474
FormLLLLW
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shchegelskyi
Fair odds · Tebenko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H14-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)