28 Sept · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1465
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Honcharenko
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1365
FormWWWWL
61%
39%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 72% (101)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H70-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-57)