29 Sept · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1538
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1599
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Potapov🌟Pytsko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (134)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H44-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-41)