28 Sept · 08:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1474
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1583
FormWWLLW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shchegelskyi🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (258)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~72 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)