28 Sept · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1471
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Oliynyk
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1431
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Oliynyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.