28 Sept · 07:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1453
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1472
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H14-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.