28 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1413
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sabuka
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1426
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vydra🌟Vydra covers set handicap as underdog 67% (46)
Fair odds · Sabuka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.