David Sabuka vs Marcel Cmil — Setka Cup

← Setka Cup predictions

28 Sep · 09:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇺🇦David Sabuka

ELO 1441

3-1Final setsSabuka won

🇺🇦Marcel Cmil

ELO 1483

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cmil at 56%. The actual result was David Sabuka 3-1 — the underdog won.

David Sabuka — profile →Marcel Cmil — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Cmil favoured — closing 1.67

Upset

Total 76.5

84 points played

Over

Set handicap

Cmil −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Cmil −0.5 points

No cover

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Sabuka is favoured to win, below means Marcel Cmil.

▲ David Sabukapre 40% → final 100%

Marcel Cmil ▼

Biggest swing 80 ptsSabuka recovered from 20%72 points · 4 games