28 Sept · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ID
🇺🇦Ihor Dubinin
ELO 1505
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dubinin
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1504
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dubinin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H15-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.