30 Sept · 14:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1514
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1625
FormWLWWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)