30 Sept · 15:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1614
FormWWWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pohorilyi
RH
🇺🇦Roman Hryhoriev
ELO 1457
FormLWLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H17-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-8)