30 Sept · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1461
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Smyk
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1418
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Smyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H28-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)