30 Sept · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1497
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mytsyk
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1496
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (245)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H8-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.