30 Sept · 14:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1514
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tiutiunnyk
DH
🇺🇦Daniil Habrelyan
ELO 1445
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Tiutiunnyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (82)
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H22-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-13)