30 Sept · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1366
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kolos
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
ELO 1313
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Ivnytskyi covers set handicap as underdog 63% (57)
Fair odds · Kolos
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)