30 Sept · 15:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Matej Myler
ELO 1506
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rulc
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1566
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Myler🌟Rulc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (143)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)