3 Oct · 05:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1628
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hrynenko
DD
🇺🇦Dmytro Derevynskyi
ELO 1591
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Hrynenko stays under total as favourite 66% (134)
Fair odds · Hrynenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H53-90
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.