4 Oct · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotyk
ELO 1543
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kotyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1368
FormLWLWL
68%
32%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mitla
Fair odds · Kotyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+175
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)