4 Oct · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1406
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hura
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1458
FormLLLLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Hura rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (163)
Fair odds · Hura
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H87-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (87-50)