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← Setka Cup predictions
03 Oct · 20:58 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PMPavel Moulis
🇺🇦Pavel Moulis
ELO 1414
2-3Final setsSabuka won
DSDavid Sabuka
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1465
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sabuka at 55%. The actual result was David Sabuka 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Moulis favoured — closing 1.46
Upset
Total 76.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Moulis −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Moulis −4.5 points
No cover
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pavel Moulis is favoured to win, below means David Sabuka.

▲ Pavel Moulispre 48% → final 0%
David Sabuka ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsSabuka recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games