4 Oct · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1372
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Badanin
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1328
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🌟Badanin stays under total as favourite 63% (38)
Fair odds · Badanin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)