4 Oct · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1521
FormLLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Zhurba
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhurba
ELO 1754
FormWLWWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Zhurba
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+233
H2H119-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+233)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (119-24)