4 Oct · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1574
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Droshchynskyi
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1612
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Kuzyshyn covers set handicap as underdog 69% (68)
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.