7 Oct · 02:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Mykyta Smyrnov
ELO 1447
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Smyrnov
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1369
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mitla🌟Smyrnov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (182)
Fair odds · Smyrnov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H48-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)