6 Oct · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇺🇦Denys Boltenkov
ELO 1483
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Boltenkov
AA
🇺🇦Artem Azarov
ELO 1400
FormWLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Boltenkov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)