8 Oct · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1406
FormLLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kovalchuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1567
FormWWLWW
34%
66%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mitla🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (240)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+161
H2H36-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-15)