8 Oct · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1635
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bouska
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1578
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Bouska stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Bouska
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)