8 Oct · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vadim Komar
ELO 1661
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kryshtal
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1670
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H44-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.