8 Oct · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1523
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1538
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 66% (203)
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H61-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.