8 Oct · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1489
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Maslovskyi
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1459
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 32% · 3.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H5-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.