8 Oct · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1302
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kunchurov
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kunchurov
ELO 1333
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kunchurov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 25% · 3.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.