8 Oct · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1380
FormLLLWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Hubenko
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1647
FormWLLWL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+267
H2H53-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+267)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-7)