11 Oct · 00:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kobets
ELO 1538
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krol
YK
🇺🇦Yan Krol
ELO 1550
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Krol
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.