11 Oct · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1444
FormWLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Palii
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1587
FormLWWLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Palii
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+143
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)