19 Oct · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1578
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H7-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.