19 Oct · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1383
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Hel
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1471
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
🌟Hel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (104)
Fair odds · Hel
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)