19 Oct · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1495
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mejzlik
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1449
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plyska🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 63% (115)
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)