19 Oct · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1543
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Syksa
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1538
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H84-63
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.