19 Oct · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1453
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Treschetka
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1410
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H64-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-33)