19 Oct · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1477
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Melnykov
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1413
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Melnykov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H43-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-40)