19 Oct · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1547
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pisa
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1604
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 67% (132)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H33-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-27)