19 Oct · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Osadchyi
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1469
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)