19 Oct · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1302
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Urezchenko
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1268
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Yarovyi covers set handicap as underdog 63% (68)
Fair odds · Urezchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.