19 Oct · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1444
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kuzmenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1403
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H42-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.