19 Oct · 07:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1519
FormWLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Maliuk
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1403
FormLLWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H36-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-24)