19 Oct · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1566
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1613
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tebenko🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (304)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H40-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-32)